FED Report - DON'T GET CAUGHT OFFSIDE​ - Crypto Consulting Institute
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tether
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Investors are on edge for what a new regime of loosening monetary policy and rate cuts mean for short term price action of Crypto. While the consensus view is that we see turmoil in risk markets, we think it is valuable to explore the contrarian view in this forecast for a surprise rally in the event of an EARLY rate cut

The Federal Reserve and the Upcoming Rate Cut Decision

The U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its aggressive rate-hike cycle in July 2023 after raising rates by 525 basis points in just 18 months. We are now anticipating the FED’s first-rate cut, which could come as early as July

Market Scepticism

While the mainstream media suggests a delayed (Nov/Dec) or even absent rate cut in 2024, there is momentum building for an earlier cut. This view likely stems from a misinterpretation of the Fed’s data-dependent policy. The Fed has consistently emphasized that its decisions will be based on incoming economic data, particularly inflation.

Softening Inflation and Economic Data

Recent data signals a significant slowdown in inflation. The June Empire State Manufacturing Survey, (a key indicator), showed a sharp decline in inflationary pressures, with the Prices Received index reaching its lowest level since July 2023. This trend is expected to continue – we also saw June’s Core CPI inflation rate below 3% and CPI broadly drop to 3.3%.

Furthermore, broader economic indicators, such as Citi’s Economic Surprise Index and unemployment claims, also point towards a softening economy. This data suggests the Fed may be compelled to act sooner than expected

Investor Positioning and Optimistic Outlook

Currently, the market anticipates a first rate cut by September with a 65.9% probability. This is likely to increase as incoming data strengthens the case for a rate cut. This shift in sentiment could trigger a significant stock market rally throughout July and August and we anticipate that this will align with a upwards shift from Bitcoin’s long consolidation above 60k.

Portfolio Preparation for the Potential Rally

If we do get a rally in back end of July August, we think BTC and ETH will lead the charge via ETF flows with Crypto broadly getting a kick on the tailwind

Key Takeways:

  • While a rate cut is anticipated by the market, the timing remains uncertain
  • We believe the Fed will prioritize recent economic data indicating a slowdown.
  • An imminent rate cut could trigger a substantial stock market rally.
  • Our portfolio positioning reflects our optimistic outlook.

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bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 66,761.89
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,507.87
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 593.85
solana
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staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,508.23
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 0.573343
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 7.30
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.125652

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What To Look and Look Out For in NFT Projects

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I am Joe, CEO and Founder of Crypto Consulting Institute, Australia's top-rated crypto education company. With my passion for finance and years of stock market experience, I have helped thousands of investors transition to sophisticated investors using my proven 5 Pillar Investment System. Our team has created over $55 million in profits to date, and we continue to grow.

My alternative thinking and education in cryptocurrencies since 2014 allowed me to quit my day job and follow my passion of investing and helping others achieve financial freedom. With my success, I have been featured on NASDAQ, Channel Ten, Channel Nine, and Dollars With Sense TV, as well as speaking at global events such as Barclays Bank in London and the Bitcoin and Blockchain Fair.

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I am Joe, CEO and Founder of Crypto Consulting Institute, Australia's top-rated crypto education company. With my passion for finance and years of stock market experience, I have helped thousands of investors transition to sophisticated investors using my proven 5 Pillar Investment System. Our team has created over $55 million in profits to date, and we continue to grow.

My alternative thinking and education in cryptocurrencies since 2014 allowed me to quit my day job and follow my passion of investing and helping others achieve financial freedom. With my success, I have been featured on NASDAQ, Channel Ten, Channel Nine, and Dollars With Sense TV, as well as speaking at global events such as Barclays Bank in London and the Bitcoin and Blockchain Fair.

Recently, I was headhunted by Tradesmith, a US-based investment technology company tracking over $30 billion in clients' invested capital. I now help traditional investors safely invest in the digital asset economy. My success and expertise in the industry speak for themselves, and I am dedicated to continuing to help others achieve their financial goals.

Hear What Our Clients Are Saying

Zero knowledge of cryptocurrencies? This man became a millionaire. Anything is possible with the right education in place!

Mark went from having zero knowledge of cryptocurrencies to turning $150k into $3Million in 4 months, whilst recovering from an illness!

The bank wouldn't give him a home loan even though he was working 2 jobs! Until CCI entered, and give the right strategy.

Adrian hits his first $1M in crypto within 3 months of working with us!

Well 10 days after we shot this, he hit his second million. And now just 16 months later, he has surpassed $15 MILLION USD!

For most people, this level of returns are unfathomable.

We simply gave him the tools and crypto strategies and Adrian ran with it!

I am not suggesting that all of our clients are performing on this level.

CCI simply demonstrating that we are incredible at helping people achieve their full potential.

Age doesn't MATTER! - A 72 Year Old Crushes It In Crypto

Some people think crypto is too ‘difficult’…

Well Peter completely dismissed that though and transitioned a large holding of his stock portfolio to gain exposure to this revolutionary asset class.

In this video Peter outlines how his portfolio exploded!

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Let's work together to achieve your goals.

I am Joe, CEO and Founder of Crypto Consulting Institute, Australia's top-rated crypto education company. With my passion for finance and years of stock market experience, I have helped thousands of investors transition to sophisticated investors using my proven 5 Pillar Investment System. Our team has created over $55 million in profits to date, and we continue to grow.

My alternative thinking and education in cryptocurrencies since 2014 allowed me to quit my day job and follow my passion of investing and helping others achieve financial freedom. With my success, I have been featured on NASDAQ, Channel Ten, Channel Nine, and Dollars With Sense TV, as well as speaking at global events such as Barclays Bank in London and the Bitcoin and Blockchain Fair.

Recently, I was headhunted by Tradesmith, a US-based investment technology company tracking over $30 billion in clients' invested capital. I now help traditional investors safely invest in the digital asset economy. My success and expertise in the industry speak for themselves, and I am dedicated to continuing to help others achieve their financial goals.

Hear What Our Clients Are Saying

Zero knowledge of cryptocurrencies? This man became a millionaire. Anything is possible with the right education in place!

Mark went from having zero knowledge of cryptocurrencies to turning $150k into $3Million in 4 months, whilst recovering from an illness!

The bank wouldn't give him a home loan even though he was working 2 jobs! Until CCI entered, and give the right strategy.

Adrian hits his first $1M in crypto within 3 months of working with us!

Well 10 days after we shot this, he hit his second million. And now just 16 months later, he has surpassed $15 MILLION USD!

For most people, this level of returns are unfathomable.

We simply gave him the tools and crypto strategies and Adrian ran with it!

I am not suggesting that all of our clients are performing on this level.

CCI simply demonstrating that we are incredible at helping people achieve their full potential.

Age doesn't MATTER! - A 72 Year Old Crushes It In Crypto

Some people think crypto is too ‘difficult’…

Well Peter completely dismissed that though and transitioned a large holding of his stock portfolio to gain exposure to this revolutionary asset class.

In this video Peter outlines how his portfolio exploded!